Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kunitz wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunitz 47.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunitz 94.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 71.4%
Neutral zone
Kunitz 65.6%
Result
Chris Kunitz favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Kunitz
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kunitz
Gaustad
Last 6: Kunitz 2-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Kunitz
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Kunitz
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunitz
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
58.2% (4,334)
-18.4%
Power Play
60.0% (35)
65.4% (188)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
54.8% (1,290)
-29.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Kunitz is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Kunitz shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Kunitz
Gaustad
Home
44.9% (69)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
45.3% (53)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Kunitz
Gaustad
P1
36.0%
58.2%
P2
47.1%
56.4%
P3
56.8%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunitz
34.0%▼
45.1%
45.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Chris Kunitz |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Chris Kunitz |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |