Scouting Report
Chris Mueller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 51.4% vs Dowell 48.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Dowell leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 55.2%
Defensive zone
Dowell 52.3%
Neutral zone
Dowell 51.6%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Mueller
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Mueller
Dowell
Last 10: Mueller 5-5 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
3
Mueller
Dowell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mueller
Dowell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mueller
3
1
Mueller
Dowell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (388)
49.1% (759)
+1.9%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
38.5% (13)
+42.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
46.9% (81)
-6.9%
On power play, Mueller has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Mueller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Mueller shoots right. Dowell is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Mueller
Dowell
Home
56.2% (219)
51.8% (413)
Away
47.0% (200)
45.8% (443)
By Period
Mueller
Dowell
P1
47.6%
50.4%
P2
57.9%
46.6%
P3
50.0%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
51.8%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 16, 2011 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Chris Mueller |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Chris Mueller |