Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Mueller wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 51.4% vs Kastelic 56.4% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Mueller 67.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.5%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Mueller
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (388)
56.8% (1,554)
-5.8%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
80.0% (25)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
53.6% (248)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Mueller is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Mueller shoots right. Kastelic is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Mueller
Kastelic
Home
56.2% (219)
59.0% (870)
Away
47.0% (200)
54.6% (957)
By Period
Mueller
Kastelic
P1
47.6%
58.7%
P2
57.9%
57.0%
P3
50.0%
54.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
51.8%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
56.7%