Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Mueller wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 51.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Mueller 67.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.5%
Neutral zone
Mueller 50.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Mueller
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (388)
57.0% (1,613)
-6.0%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
80.0% (25)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
53.6% (274)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Mueller is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Mueller shoots right. Kastelic is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Mueller
Kastelic
Home
56.2% (219)
58.9% (895)
Away
47.0% (200)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Mueller
Kastelic
P1
47.6%
58.5%
P2
57.9%
56.9%
P3
50.0%
55.3%
OT
66.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
56.0%▲
51.5%
51.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%