Chris Thorburn vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Thorburn wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs McDavid 47.8% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 50.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Thorburn
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
47.7% (8,358)
+8.1%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
52.0% (371)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
43.4% (279)
-0.5%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Thorburn is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Thorburn shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
Home / Away
Thorburn
McDavid
Home
55.7% (305)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
51.3% (308)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Thorburn
McDavid
P1
54.9%
46.5%
P2
55.1%
48.7%
P3
51.1%
48.3%
OT
20.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%