Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Thorburn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Letestu 54.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 92.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 66.4%
Neutral zone
Letestu 88.1%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Thorburn
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thorburn
Letestu
Last 5: Thorburn 5-0 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
2
0
Thorburn
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
2
0
Thorburn
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
55.6% (613)
-2.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.4% (103)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
60.0% (10)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Thorburn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Thorburn shoots right. Letestu is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Letestu
Home
52.1% (119)
57.5% (393)
Away
47.7% (132)
53.1% (341)
By Period
Thorburn
Letestu
P1
45.3%
53.3%
P2
53.8%
59.8%
P3
51.3%
53.0%
OT
20.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
40.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |