Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thorburn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thorburn wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Letestu 52.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 70.4%
Defensive zone
Letestu 73.1%
Neutral zone
Letestu 60.3%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Thorburn
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Thorburn
Letestu
Last 6: Thorburn 6-0 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
2
0
Thorburn
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
3
0
Thorburn
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
53.3% (4,565)
+2.5%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
56.0% (687)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
44.2% (1,005)
-1.3%
On power play, Letestu has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Thorburn is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Thorburn shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Letestu
Home
55.7% (305)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
51.3% (308)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Thorburn
Letestu
P1
54.9%
51.5%
P2
55.1%
55.0%
P3
51.1%
49.8%
OT
20.0%
51.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |