Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Ribeiro 46.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 73.7%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 71.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 56.1%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Last 6: Thorburn 3-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Thorburn
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
46.9% (823)
+6.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
49.0% (306)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
36.5% (74)
+5.8%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Thorburn is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Thorburn shoots right. Ribeiro is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Home
52.1% (119)
46.3% (620)
Away
47.7% (132)
46.9% (593)
By Period
Thorburn
Ribeiro
P1
45.3%
48.5%
P2
53.8%
46.5%
P3
51.3%
43.6%
OT
20.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |