Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thorburn wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 51.7%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 81.6%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 55.2%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Last 6: Thorburn 3-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Thorburn
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
42.9% (4,887)
+12.9%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
45.6% (930)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
33.3% (147)
+9.6%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Thorburn is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Thorburn shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Ribeiro
Home
55.7% (305)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
51.3% (308)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Thorburn
Ribeiro
P1
54.9%
42.6%
P2
55.1%
44.3%
P3
51.1%
41.8%
OT
20.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |