Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Thorburn wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Foligno 48.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 54.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Thorburn
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thorburn
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Thorburn
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
1
0
Thorburn
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
48.3% (2,810)
+7.5%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
52.3% (730)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
44.0% (455)
-1.1%
On power play, Foligno has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Thorburn is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Thorburn shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Foligno
Home
55.7% (305)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
51.3% (308)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Thorburn
Foligno
P1
54.9%
47.6%
P2
55.1%
50.4%
P3
51.1%
48.3%
OT
20.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |