Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Tierney 50.9% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Kempe leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 94.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 82.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 85.7%
14.3%
85.7%
Kempe
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kempe
Tierney
Last 10: Kempe 6-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Tierney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
4
3
Kempe
Tierney
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
50.1% (774)
-12.0%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
52.7% (74)
-10.6%
On even strength, Tierney has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Tierney is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Kempe
Tierney
Home
39.1% (312)
52.6% (483)
Away
38.0% (371)
49.5% (473)
By Period
Kempe
Tierney
P1
39.4%
51.9%
P2
37.7%
47.4%
P3
39.0%
54.1%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
30.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |