Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.7%). Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 47.8% vs Tierney 46.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 52.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 63.9%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 50.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Gaunce
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaunce
Tierney
Last 5: Gaunce 2-3 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Tierney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Gaunce
Tierney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
2
Gaunce
Tierney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (92)
45.7% (648)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (12)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
69.2% (13)
44.1% (145)
+25.1%
On power play, Tierney has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Gaunce is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Gaunce shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Tierney
Home
32.4% (37)
48.5% (394)
Away
52.9% (70)
43.1% (411)
By Period
Gaunce
Tierney
P1
51.2%
48.7%
P2
46.7%
49.0%
P3
38.9%
40.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
45.8%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |