Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Tierney 46.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 57.5%
Defensive zone
Froese 68.0%
Neutral zone
Froese 57.7%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Froese
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Froese
Tierney
Last 5: Froese 4-1 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Tierney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
3
1
Froese
Tierney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
45.7% (648)
+2.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.7% (12)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
44.1% (145)
+4.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Froese shoots right. Tierney is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Froese
Tierney
Home
48.1% (312)
48.5% (394)
Away
48.5% (330)
43.1% (411)
By Period
Froese
Tierney
P1
43.6%
48.7%
P2
48.4%
49.0%
P3
52.4%
40.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:44 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Byron Froese |