Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.9%). Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Tierney 50.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 55.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 77.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Jarnkrok
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Tierney
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Tierney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Jarnkrok
Tierney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Tierney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
52.1% (844)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.7% (75)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
42.7% (124)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tierney is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tierney
Home
53.8% (210)
51.2% (521)
Away
43.8% (121)
50.6% (522)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tierney
P1
48.7%
49.3%
P2
54.0%
50.4%
P3
47.6%
53.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |