Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.9%). Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Wagner 49.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Wagner 55.4%
Defensive zone
Wagner 69.8%
Neutral zone
Wagner 67.5%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Tierney
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
17
(22 meetings)
5
17
Tierney
Wagner
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
5
Tierney
Wagner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
5
Tierney
Wagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
7
Tierney
Wagner
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.8% (1,243)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
40.0% (20)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
42.0% (307)
+4.6%
On power play, Tierney has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Tierney
Wagner
Home
50.6% (3,270)
49.8% (817)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Tierney
Wagner
P1
49.3%
48.6%
P2
47.7%
48.6%
P3
50.5%
49.5%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |