Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 58.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Wagner 53.1% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Wagner 51.9%
Defensive zone
Wagner 52.1%
Neutral zone
Wagner 51.1%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Tierney
Wagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
61.4% (44)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
50.0% (18)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Tierney is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Tierney shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Tierney
Wagner
Home
62.3% (77)
63.9% (36)
Away
53.8% (117)
50.0% (26)
By Period
Tierney
Wagner
P1
61.1%
66.7%
P2
60.0%
37.5%
P3
49.1%
64.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%