Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Wagner 47.3% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 64.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 68.6%
Neutral zone
Wagner 69.7%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Tierney
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Wagner
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
2
Tierney
Wagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
1
Tierney
Wagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Wagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
48.2% (83)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
0.0% (1)
+50.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
38.9% (36)
+3.8%
On power play, Tierney has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Tierney is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Tierney shoots left. Wagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Tierney
Wagner
Home
51.2% (521)
41.4% (58)
Away
50.6% (522)
48.4% (62)
By Period
Tierney
Wagner
P1
49.3%
45.0%
P2
50.4%
59.1%
P3
53.4%
25.7%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |