Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 25 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Giroux 56.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 35-22 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 86.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 85.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 80.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Tierney
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
35
(57 meetings)
22
35
Tierney
Giroux
Last 10: Tierney 4-6 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
22
Tierney
Giroux
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
16
7
Tierney
Giroux
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
6
Tierney
Giroux
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
55.8% (13,861)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
60.5% (4,075)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
57.4% (2,518)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Home / Away
Tierney
Giroux
Home
50.6% (3,270)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Tierney
Giroux
P1
49.3%
57.5%
P2
47.7%
56.2%
P3
50.5%
57.3%
OT
47.4%
51.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |