Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.1%). Look for Cave on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Cave 50.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Cave leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cave 59.6%
Defensive zone
Cave 55.2%
Neutral zone
Cave 58.4%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Tierney
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Tierney
Cave
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tierney
Cave
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
1
2
Tierney
Cave
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
1
3
Tierney
Cave
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
50.8% (356)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
36.4% (11)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
46.9% (32)
-4.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Tierney shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Tierney
Cave
Home
51.2% (521)
46.7% (184)
Away
50.6% (522)
53.0% (215)
By Period
Tierney
Cave
P1
49.3%
45.3%
P2
50.4%
51.9%
P3
53.4%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |