Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.2%). Look for Cave on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Cave 49.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Cave leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cave 52.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 50.0%
Neutral zone
Cave 52.5%
Result
Colby Cave favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Tierney
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Tierney
Cave
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tierney
Cave
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cave
1
2
Tierney
Cave
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
1
3
Tierney
Cave
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.1% (445)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
41.7% (12)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
41.9% (43)
+4.7%
On power play, Tierney has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Tierney
Cave
Home
50.6% (3,270)
46.8% (233)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
51.3% (267)
By Period
Tierney
Cave
P1
49.3%
46.3%
P2
47.7%
48.3%
P3
50.5%
53.7%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 11:01 | Offensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |