Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Sillinger 46.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 56.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 78.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 69.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Tierney
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tierney
Sillinger
Last 8: Tierney 5-3 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Sillinger
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Sillinger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Sillinger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
46.7% (694)
+3.7%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
53.8% (52)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
30.3% (33)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Tierney
Sillinger
Home
53.3% (289)
47.9% (374)
Away
45.5% (242)
45.2% (405)
By Period
Tierney
Sillinger
P1
50.9%
48.5%
P2
46.7%
47.8%
P3
52.1%
42.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |