Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Backes 55.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 66.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 74.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 68.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Tierney
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tierney
Backes
Last 8: Tierney 2-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Tierney
Backes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Tierney
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
55.7% (228)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
65.2% (66)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
40.0% (15)
+2.7%
On power play, Backes has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Tierney is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Tierney shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Tierney
Backes
Home
51.2% (521)
55.9% (188)
Away
50.6% (522)
58.7% (121)
By Period
Tierney
Backes
P1
49.3%
53.0%
P2
50.4%
56.6%
P3
53.4%
60.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |