Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Backes 50.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 55.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 58.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Tierney
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Tierney
Backes
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
6
Tierney
Backes
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tierney
Backes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
4
Tierney
Backes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
51.1% (5,772)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
50.8% (1,082)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
47.4% (930)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Tierney
Backes
Home
50.6% (3,270)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Tierney
Backes
P1
49.3%
50.1%
P2
47.7%
51.5%
P3
50.5%
50.8%
OT
47.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:33 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | David Backes |