Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Brassard 50.0% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 53.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 50.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Tierney
Brassard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.6% (230)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
53.8% (26)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
50.0% (30)
-2.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Tierney
Brassard
Home
47.9% (121)
51.7% (143)
Away
46.1% (115)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Tierney
Brassard
P1
44.1%
46.4%
P2
50.0%
50.6%
P3
46.3%
53.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%