Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Gambrell 46.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 52.4%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 51.5%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 51.8%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Tierney
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tierney
Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Gambrell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
2
Tierney
Gambrell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
46.2% (266)
+0.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
35.1% (37)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Tierney
Gambrell
Home
47.9% (121)
46.6% (161)
Away
46.1% (115)
43.4% (145)
By Period
Tierney
Gambrell
P1
44.1%
44.3%
P2
50.0%
46.6%
P3
46.3%
44.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |