Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Staal 50.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 28-23 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 68.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Tierney
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
23
(51 meetings)
28
23
Tierney
Staal
Last 10: Tierney 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
7
Tierney
Staal
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
8
3
Tierney
Staal
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
14
13
Tierney
Staal
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.5% (10,347)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
53.5% (2,023)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
44.2% (781)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Tierney
Staal
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Tierney
Staal
P1
49.3%
50.0%
P2
47.7%
51.1%
P3
50.5%
50.4%
OT
47.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Eric Staal |