Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.2%). Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Staal 46.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 72.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 68.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 67.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Tierney
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Tierney
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.6% (565)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
35.0% (20)
+31.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
35.4% (158)
+12.1%
On power play, Tierney has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Tierney
Staal
Home
47.9% (121)
46.1% (380)
Away
46.1% (115)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Tierney
Staal
P1
44.1%
45.7%
P2
50.0%
46.2%
P3
46.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |