Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.2%). Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs Staal 51.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 60.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 63.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Tierney
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tierney
Staal
Last 6: Tierney 5-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
51.0% (930)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
54.4% (125)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
48.3% (60)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Tierney is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Tierney shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Tierney
Staal
Home
52.6% (483)
53.5% (561)
Away
49.5% (473)
48.9% (554)
By Period
Tierney
Staal
P1
51.9%
50.1%
P2
47.4%
50.3%
P3
54.1%
53.1%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |