Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Haula 53.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 67.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 64.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 65.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Tierney
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tierney
Haula
Last 6: Tierney 1-5 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
3
Tierney
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Tierney
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
54.5% (881)
-7.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
68.4% (57)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
45.4% (119)
+2.1%
On even strength, Haula has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Tierney
Haula
Home
47.9% (121)
55.4% (520)
Away
46.1% (115)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Tierney
Haula
P1
44.1%
56.5%
P2
50.0%
53.3%
P3
46.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Erik Haula |