Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Malkin 43.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 50.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Tierney
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tierney
Malkin
Last 6: Tierney 3-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
3
Tierney
Malkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
43.1% (733)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
31.3% (16)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
16.7% (6)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Tierney is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Tierney shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Tierney
Malkin
Home
46.5% (127)
42.6% (338)
Away
42.3% (215)
42.7% (417)
By Period
Tierney
Malkin
P1
42.7%
40.9%
P2
39.2%
45.3%
P3
48.8%
42.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |