Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Malkin 49.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 77.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Tierney
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tierney
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Tierney
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.0% (811)
-2.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.8% (43)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
50.0% (2)
-2.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Tierney
Malkin
Home
47.9% (121)
52.3% (438)
Away
46.1% (115)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Tierney
Malkin
P1
44.1%
51.3%
P2
50.0%
50.8%
P3
46.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |