Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 48.7% vs Malkin 43.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 56.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 68.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Tierney
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tierney
Malkin
Last 6: Tierney 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Tierney
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Tierney
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (675)
42.7% (827)
+6.5%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
63.2% (19)
-6.1%
On even strength, Tierney has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Tierney shoots left. Malkin is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Tierney
Malkin
Home
50.7% (420)
45.1% (426)
Away
46.3% (406)
41.2% (420)
By Period
Tierney
Malkin
P1
45.2%
41.3%
P2
50.0%
44.0%
P3
50.8%
44.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |