Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Nielsen 46.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 78.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 91.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 83.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Tierney
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tierney
Nielsen
Last 7: Tierney 6-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
0
Tierney
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
46.5% (409)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
43.5% (23)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
41.7% (24)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Nielsen is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Tierney
Nielsen
Home
48.6% (552)
44.7% (264)
Away
54.3% (466)
47.9% (192)
By Period
Tierney
Nielsen
P1
51.3%
48.4%
P2
46.5%
49.7%
P3
55.3%
38.0%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |