Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.5%). Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 54.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 52.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 54.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Tierney
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Tierney
Nielsen
Last 10: Tierney 7-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
5
Tierney
Nielsen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
3
Tierney
Nielsen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
7
Tierney
Nielsen
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
49.3% (7,608)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
54.7% (594)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
41.7% (1,420)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Tierney
Nielsen
Home
50.6% (3,270)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Tierney
Nielsen
P1
49.3%
49.7%
P2
47.7%
47.6%
P3
50.5%
48.2%
OT
47.4%
46.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |