Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gawdin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Gawdin 47.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 55.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 59.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Tierney
Gawdin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Tierney
Gawdin
Last 7: Tierney 4-3 Gawdin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gawdin
0
1
Tierney
Gawdin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Gawdin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Gawdin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Gawdin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
45.5% (66)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
0.0% (1)
+52.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
33.3% (6)
+13.3%
On power play, Tierney has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gawdin shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Gawdin is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Tierney
Gawdin
Home
50.6% (3,270)
43.8% (48)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
44.0% (25)
By Period
Tierney
Gawdin
P1
49.3%
35.3%
P2
47.7%
48.3%
P3
50.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Gawdin
42.0%▼
43.8%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| May 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Glenn Gawdin |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Glenn Gawdin |
| May 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| May 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Glenn Gawdin |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |