Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Miller 54.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 75.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 55.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 58.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Tierney
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
19
(39 meetings)
20
19
Tierney
Miller
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
9
Tierney
Miller
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
10
3
Tierney
Miller
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
5
7
Tierney
Miller
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
55.2% (6,648)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
57.9% (1,285)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
48.2% (913)
-1.6%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Home / Away
Tierney
Miller
Home
50.6% (3,270)
55.9% (4,578)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
53.8% (4,268)
By Period
Tierney
Miller
P1
49.3%
54.7%
P2
47.7%
55.6%
P3
50.5%
54.0%
OT
47.4%
62.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |