Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 56.3%). Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Miller 55.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 69.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 52.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 59.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Tierney
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Tierney
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
56.3% (1,033)
+0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
62.5% (253)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
47.4% (175)
+16.9%
On power play, Miller has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Tierney
Miller
Home
62.3% (77)
58.6% (734)
Away
53.8% (117)
54.1% (727)
By Period
Tierney
Miller
P1
61.1%
57.1%
P2
60.0%
57.0%
P3
49.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |