Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Stoll 56.3% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 53.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 87.6%
Neutral zone
Stoll 81.3%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Tierney
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
Stoll
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Stoll
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Stoll
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
57.7% (650)
-12.0%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
66.7% (15)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
53.9% (178)
-9.8%
On even strength, Stoll has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Tierney is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Tierney shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stoll
Home
48.5% (394)
59.6% (421)
Away
43.1% (411)
54.5% (422)
By Period
Tierney
Stoll
P1
48.7%
55.4%
P2
49.0%
55.9%
P3
40.6%
59.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |