Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Stoll 55.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 84.6%
Defensive zone
Stoll 75.0%
Neutral zone
Stoll 85.7%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Tierney
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Tierney
Stoll
Last 9: Tierney 8-1 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Stoll
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
1
Tierney
Stoll
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
56.0% (4,886)
-6.7%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
56.5% (496)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
50.7% (1,087)
-4.1%
On even strength, Stoll has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stoll
Home
50.6% (3,270)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Tierney
Stoll
P1
49.3%
54.2%
P2
47.7%
55.8%
P3
50.5%
55.3%
OT
47.4%
52.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |