Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Spezza 53.7% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 55.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 61.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Tierney
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Spezza
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Tierney
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Tierney
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
53.0% (998)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
58.5% (248)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (16)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Tierney is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Tierney shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Tierney
Spezza
Home
46.5% (127)
56.4% (626)
Away
42.3% (215)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Tierney
Spezza
P1
42.7%
56.9%
P2
39.2%
51.9%
P3
48.8%
53.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |