Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Spezza 52.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 64.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 64.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 51.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Tierney
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Tierney
Spezza
Last 10: Tierney 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
6
Tierney
Spezza
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
53.7% (451)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
54.3% (92)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
38.2% (34)
-1.4%
On power play, Spezza has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Tierney
Spezza
Home
53.3% (289)
55.0% (282)
Away
45.5% (242)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Tierney
Spezza
P1
50.9%
53.1%
P2
46.7%
53.2%
P3
52.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |