Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hayes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Hayes 40.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 60.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 94.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 78.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Tierney
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tierney
Hayes
Last 8: Tierney 5-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Tierney
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
36.1% (202)
+13.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
34.3% (35)
+18.0%
On power play, Tierney has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Tierney
Hayes
Home
50.6% (3,270)
34.7% (124)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
37.7% (114)
By Period
Tierney
Hayes
P1
49.3%
38.6%
P2
47.7%
26.5%
P3
50.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jimmy Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Jimmy Hayes |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jimmy Hayes |