Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Vitale 48.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 73.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 78.9%
Neutral zone
Vitale 59.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Tierney
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tierney
Vitale
Last 5: Tierney 3-2 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Vitale
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
2
Tierney
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
50.8% (539)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
41.3% (189)
-1.3%
On power play, Tierney has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Tierney is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Tierney shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Tierney
Vitale
Home
46.5% (127)
46.9% (371)
Away
42.3% (215)
49.7% (362)
By Period
Tierney
Vitale
P1
42.7%
52.9%
P2
39.2%
44.2%
P3
48.8%
47.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |