Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Vitale 54.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 51.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 57.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.7%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Tierney
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tierney
Vitale
Last 5: Tierney 3-2 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Vitale
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
2
Tierney
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
55.9% (1,771)
-6.6%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
76.0% (25)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
47.1% (297)
-0.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Home / Away
Tierney
Vitale
Home
50.6% (3,270)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Tierney
Vitale
P1
49.3%
52.9%
P2
47.7%
53.8%
P3
50.5%
57.5%
OT
47.4%
72.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |