Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Danforth 52.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 53.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 51.0%
Neutral zone
Danforth 50.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Tierney
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tierney
Danforth
Last 5: Tierney 3-2 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Danforth
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Tierney
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
54.3% (162)
-3.9%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
50.0% (10)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
51.9% (27)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Danforth has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Tierney is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Tierney shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Tierney
Danforth
Home
53.3% (289)
51.9% (81)
Away
45.5% (242)
55.1% (118)
By Period
Tierney
Danforth
P1
50.9%
49.2%
P2
46.7%
50.8%
P3
52.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |