Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Tierney 68.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 72.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 52.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Tierney
Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
58.2% (359)
-11.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
47.1% (17)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
42.0% (150)
+5.5%
On power play, Tierney has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Tierney
Stenlund
Home
47.9% (121)
53.6% (261)
Away
46.1% (115)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Tierney
Stenlund
P1
44.1%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
46.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.2%