Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs MacLean 47.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 60.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 82.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 63.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Tierney
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
MacLean
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
MacLean
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
47.0% (837)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
62.5% (8)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
56.7% (30)
-10.1%
On power play, MacLean has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Tierney
MacLean
Home
50.6% (3,270)
46.7% (424)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Tierney
MacLean
P1
49.3%
46.3%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
50.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |