Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs MacLean 47.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 63.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 82.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 65.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Tierney
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
MacLean
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
MacLean
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
47.2% (849)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
62.5% (8)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
56.7% (30)
-10.1%
On power play, MacLean has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Tierney
MacLean
Home
50.6% (3,270)
46.9% (426)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Tierney
MacLean
P1
49.3%
46.6%
P2
47.7%
49.7%
P3
50.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |