Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs MacLean 44.7% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 76.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 91.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 79.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Tierney
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tierney
MacLean
Last 5: Tierney 4-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
MacLean
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
42.4% (238)
+14.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
75.0% (4)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
20.0% (5)
+44.3%
On power play, MacLean has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Tierney
MacLean
Home
62.3% (77)
41.4% (128)
Away
53.8% (117)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Tierney
MacLean
P1
61.1%
49.3%
P2
60.0%
41.6%
P3
49.1%
37.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |