Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Turris 50.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 20-20 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 66.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 70.6%
Neutral zone
Turris 51.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Tierney
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
20
(40 meetings)
20
20
Tierney
Turris
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
6
Tierney
Turris
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
12
4
Tierney
Turris
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
6
10
Tierney
Turris
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.2% (7,653)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
52.4% (1,312)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
48.6% (580)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Tierney
Turris
Home
50.6% (3,270)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Tierney
Turris
P1
49.3%
51.5%
P2
47.7%
50.8%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
47.4%
56.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |