Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs Draisaitl 55.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 87.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 61.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 68.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Tierney
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Tierney
Draisaitl
Last 10: Tierney 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
1
Tierney
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tierney
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
56.6% (956)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
53.5% (144)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
55.1% (98)
+1.4%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tierney is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Tierney shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Tierney
Draisaitl
Home
52.6% (483)
56.1% (626)
Away
49.5% (473)
56.1% (572)
By Period
Tierney
Draisaitl
P1
51.9%
56.9%
P2
47.4%
53.7%
P3
54.1%
56.9%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |